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DHT: 11CSV

19 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Cercle Brugge
24.5%
Draw
43.4%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.72

Genk

Markets

BTTS63.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).