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30 Jul 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Cambridge
26.7%
Draw
33.1%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Cambridge

vs
1.03

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).