Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Las Palmas
25.2%
Draw
14.4%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Las Palmas
vs
0.60
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).