⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11

14 Dec 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.0%
Motor Lublin
26.1%
Draw
38.8%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Motor Lublin

vs
1.55

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).