Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Reggiana
32.5%
Draw
41.4%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Reggiana
vs
1.18
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).