Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Bastia
22.7%
Draw
63.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Bastia
vs
1.61
Lorient
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-2
14.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).