Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Ath Bilbao
24.6%
Draw
22.3%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.01
Espanol
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).