Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Wealdstone
21.0%
Draw
59.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Wealdstone
vs
2.26
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.5%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).