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AHT: 02CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Dorking
25.6%
Draw
28.9%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Dorking

vs
1.31

Fylde

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).