Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Portimonense
23.4%
Draw
45.3%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Portimonense
vs
1.61
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).