Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Alessandria
26.6%
Draw
55.8%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Alessandria
vs
1.66
Monza
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).