Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Malaga
22.4%
Draw
18.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Malaga
vs
0.91
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).