Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Torino
22.2%
Draw
57.4%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Torino
vs
1.85
Napoli
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).