Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
FeralpiSalo
28.8%
Draw
32.5%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
FeralpiSalo
vs
1.23
Brescia
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).