Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Fulham
18.9%
Draw
11.9%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Fulham
vs
0.88
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).