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03 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Antwerp
28.9%
Draw
37.3%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Antwerp

vs
1.26

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).