Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Spal
26.2%
Draw
28.3%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Spal
vs
1.06
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).