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08 Mar 2026 · 19:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Legia Warszawa
30.4%
Draw
26.7%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Legia Warszawa

vs
0.97

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).