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25 Apr 2026 · 15:15

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.6%
Venezia
15.1%
Draw
7.3%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Venezia

vs
0.75

Empoli

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.6%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).