Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Morecambe
22.5%
Draw
55.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Morecambe
vs
1.77
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).