Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Sochi
18.6%
Draw
63.0%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sochi
vs
2.71
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS72.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-3
5.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
2-4
3.7%
0-4
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).