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AHT: 01

06 Dec 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.1%
Stuttgart
22.0%
Draw
39.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Stuttgart

vs
1.97

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS74.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
1-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).