Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Värnamo
15.0%
Draw
74.8%
Djurgården
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Värnamo
vs
2.97
Djurgården
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
6.1%
0-4
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
1-5
3.6%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).