Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Karagumruk
31.7%
Draw
18.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Karagumruk
vs
0.88
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).