Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Brescia
30.7%
Draw
26.2%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Brescia
vs
0.96
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).