Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting
11.4%
Draw
2.6%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.32
Farense
Markets
BTTS25.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.1%
3-0
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
4-0
10.4%
2-1
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
5-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-1
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
0-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).