Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Tottenham
25.2%
Draw
26.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Tottenham
vs
1.37
Burnley
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).