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24 Sept 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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1.7%
Greuther Furth
4.8%
Draw
93.5%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Greuther Furth

vs
4.32

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.587.2%
Over 3.572.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-4
10.2%
0-3
9.4%
0-5
8.8%
1-4
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
1-5
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
2.9%
2-4
2.1%
1-1
2.1%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).