Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Blackburn
30.2%
Draw
46.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Blackburn
vs
1.31
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).