⚽ FootballData
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DHT: 21CSV

04 Nov 2017

Bari

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Salernitana
34.4%
Draw
24.6%
Bari

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Salernitana

vs
0.77

Bari

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.0%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).