Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.9%
Notts County
8.7%
Draw
3.4%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Notts County
vs
0.65
Dorking
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.558.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.4%
2-0
10.0%
4-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.1%
3-2
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).