Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Reading
23.9%
Draw
25.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Reading
vs
0.97
Exeter
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).