Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Rennes
23.3%
Draw
45.8%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Rennes
vs
1.68
Lens
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).