Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Man United
21.0%
Draw
38.0%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Man United
vs
1.83
Sutton
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).