Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Sassuolo
25.9%
Draw
18.5%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sassuolo
vs
0.91
Modena
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).