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22 Apr 2026 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.6%
SK Rapid
32.8%
Draw
32.6%
Hartberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

SK Rapid

vs
0.98

Hartberg

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).