Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Bari
30.2%
Draw
25.5%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Bari
vs
0.96
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).