Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Famalicao
20.9%
Draw
12.3%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Famalicao
vs
0.61
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).