Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Almeria
23.2%
Draw
31.4%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Almeria
vs
1.50
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).