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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.9%
Witton Albion
19.3%
Draw
32.8%
Liverpool

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Witton Albion

vs
1.91

Liverpool

Markets

BTTS76.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.579.4%
Over 3.561.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
5.5%
2-3
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
3-3
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).