Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Santander
18.1%
Draw
10.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Santander
vs
0.70
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).