Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Spezia
27.5%
Draw
53.1%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Spezia
vs
1.37
Lazio
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).