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AHT: 00CSV

22 Sept 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Braintree Town
31.6%
Draw
22.6%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Braintree Town

vs
0.79

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).