Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Exeter
25.4%
Draw
34.8%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Exeter
vs
1.15
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).