Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Sunderland
22.2%
Draw
27.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sunderland
vs
1.15
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).