Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Zenit
15.5%
Draw
1.7%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Zenit
vs
0.15
Fakel
Markets
BTTS12.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
23.2%
1-0
22.0%
3-0
15.9%
0-0
11.3%
4-0
8.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
0-1
1.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).