Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Padova
29.7%
Draw
27.3%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Padova
vs
1.04
Cesena
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).