Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Andorra
26.1%
Draw
33.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Andorra
vs
1.22
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).