Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Huesca
27.8%
Draw
16.5%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Huesca
vs
0.60
Lugo
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
13.8%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).