Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.6%
Barcelona
6.3%
Draw
3.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
4.12
Barcelona
vs
0.82
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.595.8%
Over 2.587.0%
Over 3.572.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
5-0
7.1%
4-1
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
5-1
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
4-2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
1-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).